Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 4.945368 5.782012 6.684486 7.726490 8.892449 10.152955 11.614655
2025-04-13 3.387629 4.422049 5.632256 7.137349 8.942782 11.022417 13.581545
2025-04-20 2.671995 3.857510 5.348835 7.325860 9.838182 12.883197 16.807864
2025-04-27 2.276115 3.600297 5.376840 7.864680 11.181661 15.371373 20.973220
2025-05-04 1.926602 3.328842 5.328435 8.273345 12.372224 17.740035 25.146750
2025-05-11 1.547948 2.933523 5.036811 8.293766 13.020214 19.426238 28.529665
2025-05-18 1.196212 2.500484 4.613079 8.054036 13.256746 20.545675 31.197021
2025-05-25 0.933099 2.152438 4.257395 7.855208 13.507056 21.668459 33.898185
2025-06-01 0.752880 1.908872 4.027336 7.810985 13.961048 23.080777 37.046965
2025-06-08 0.603833 1.687180 3.795340 7.726126 14.327833 24.365695 40.052852
2025-06-15 0.542279 1.633794 3.856966 8.136794 15.498419 26.895609 44.966562
2025-06-22 0.450133 1.486682 3.716131 8.171485 16.048619 28.496940 48.558973
2025-06-29 0.338665 1.261399 3.388824 7.842355 15.984612 29.173529 50.845434
2025-07-06 0.246840 1.051562 3.051882 7.448865 15.769901 29.589967 52.744707
2025-07-13 0.217348 1.011057 3.080871 7.770795 16.835196 32.118860 58.025000
2025-07-20 0.208905 1.034873 3.262487 8.416858 18.523294 35.739118 65.149575
2025-07-27 0.192087 1.025153 3.361629 8.899511 19.936967 38.957084 71.736799
2025-08-03 0.158313 0.941326 3.262788 8.952491 20.550511 40.853752 76.264213
2025-08-10 0.120213 0.820316 3.043297 8.716366 20.593673 41.774123 79.231363
2025-08-17 0.091222 0.718383 2.851702 8.515712 20.683081 42.766289 82.335729
2025-08-24 0.072187 0.649265 2.737009 8.475186 21.077988 44.297362 86.366955
2025-08-31 0.055895 0.581349 2.610046 8.388637 21.369414 45.649523 90.132317
2025-09-07 0.051652 0.580942 2.695192 8.829138 22.767072 49.037412 97.435903